Spain versus Georgia na di fourth Round of 16 match for di European Football Championship. Di clash between di high-performing team for di groups, Spain, and di Georgian team, wey dem consider as underdogs for di tournament, go start on June 30th by 21:00 CET. Di match go happun for RheinEnergieStadion for Cologne, where all 43 thousand seats don already get assurance say dem go full up as fans dey expect plenty goals.
Almost everybody dey confident say dis match go get plenty goals, with many analysts wey dey predict say all di goals go enter Georgia net. Spain team no be original favorites to win di title, but dia performance for di group matches don change dat mata. Dem be di only team wey win all dia three matches, wey even make am more significant as dem compete for di “Group of Death”. Spanish players sabi how to win Croatia 3-0, Italy 1-0, and Albania 1-0. Plus, dem no concede any goal for di tournament, wey be something wey never happun for Spanish football history.
Wetin di betting people dey offer?
No doubt dey among di betting people say Spain go win. And again, no other team get low odds like Spain own. Right now, betting houses like bet356, SportingBet, and bWin dey offer odds wey dey around 1.20 to 1.22 for Spain win. Di odds for draw for di match between Spain and Georgia fit reach 6.75, while Georgia potential victory dey set for odds of 15.50.
Additionally, di match between Spain and Georgia na one of di few Round of 16 matches for di European Championship wey betting people dey favor to get many goals. Di odds for Over 2.5 goals for di match dey around 1.67, while di opposite bet for Under 2.5 goals fit dey 2.20.
E be like say dis match go get goals, and majority of dem go dey in favor of Spain.
Wetin statistics show?
Betting people no too dey make mistake, and dis match statistics confirm am. No team for di Round of 16 get higher expected goals (xG) wey dem go concede pass Georgia. On average, for dia three matches wey dem play, Georgians don concede 2.37 expected goals. Plus, for each of dia matches, dem concede more expected goals pass dia opponents. Now dem go face Spain, wey average 1.84 expected goals wey dem score for dia three matches, and dem manage score total of 5 goals.
If we check di reverse statistics, for dia last two matches, Spanish defenders only concede 0.31 expected goals per match. Dis data show say Georgian attackers go get tough work for dis match.
Di exception na di match between Spain and Croatia, where Spaniards quickly take 3-0 lead and allow Croatian players to take initiative. Dis one lead to higher expected goals value for Croatia, wey reach just over 2.
We still need consider Georgia attacking abilities. Whether dem expect am or not, Georgians na one of di most offensive teams for dis championship. On average, dem manage expected goals ratio of 1.63. Plus, dem be one of di few teams for di European Championship wey don score for every match wey dem play so far. Whether dem fit score against di best defense for di championship, na something wey we go see.
Wetin fit make successful bet for dis match between Spain and Georgia?
Certainly, goals dey wey dey attract plenty bettors. Spain to win for regular time get high chance, but di odds too low. However, betting on goals dey look promising. Betting on Over 3.5 goals at 2.75 look justified. Even more likely na bet on Over 2.5 goals for di match, with odds of 1.66, wey no too low and e make sense.
Di odds of 1.95 for Spain central forward Alvaro Morata to score any time, e look too low to be justified.
Wetin I fit suggest for dis match na potential live betting and dey monitor di odds for di number of goals wey go happen for regular time. If di match remain 0-0 reach around di 30th minute, di odds for Over 2.5 goals for di match fit rise above 2, wey go make am attractive. Plus, betting on Over 0.5 goals before half-time fit also make sense.
Another live betting option na to wait for potential opening goal by Spain. Georgia don show say dem like to play attacking football for dia matches and dem no go settle for honorable defeat or to wait for dia chance towards end of di match. If Spain score and Georgia play more boldly, we fit see dem expose for defense, wey fit make three goals by Spain very possible for dis scenario.
